Investments in Brazil are expected to improve in the 2019/2022 four-year period, according to the Investment Perspectives bulletin, produced by sector analysts of the National Bank for Economic and Social Development (BNDES) and released today (13) by the institution.

The publication estimates total investment in the period of R $ 1.1 trillion for 19 mapped sectors, 11 of which from industry and eight from infrastructure, accounting for about 25% of the economy’s gross fixed capital formation (GFCF). The value shows a real increase of 2.7% in relation to the investments foreseen in the previous survey (2018-2021).

According to the bulletin, the numbers consider investments supported and not supported by BNDES. “In all the sectors analyzed, the bulletin reveals an average real growth of 3.9% per year in the period, driven by an acceleration of growth at the end of the quadrennium. The performance is far superior to the current GDP [Gross Domestic Product] projections of Focus [produced by the Central Bank], ”says the study.

Economist Fernando Puga, adviser to the BNDES presidency, points out that the outlook for 2022 is one of strong investment growth, especially in sectors such as oil and gas and also in electricity.

Investments in the industry justify the forecast of general expansion of investments, highlighting the oil and gas segment, not only due to the recovery of oil prices in the international market, but also due to the concession or exploratory block auctions held in the years. 2017 and 2018. In infrastructure, BNDES estimates that the logistics and sanitation segments will perform better on investments in the areas most in need of development, especially from 2020 onwards.

The study also foresees that public policies, changes in the regulatory framework and programs for the concession of infrastructure services to the private sector have a positive influence on investments, while the fiscal situation of the Federation units remains a factor of investment inhibition. )

Source: Agência Brasil